Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Nice Information & Telecommunication, Inc. (036800.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$199,464.59 - $1,027,287.44$405,974.29
Multi-Stage$109,292.26 - $119,602.03$114,352.68
Blended Fair Value$260,163.49
Current Price$23,000.00
Upside1,031.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.65%11.46%749.36690.73633.18493.67493.67451.72380.72385.34330.29264.23
YoY Growth--8.49%9.09%28.26%0.00%9.29%18.65%-1.20%16.67%25.00%4.35%
Dividend Yield--4.27%3.27%2.54%1.69%1.59%1.92%1.79%1.66%1.32%0.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)45,119.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,076.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)38,043.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,023.865,639.913,383.95
Cash Retained (M)38,043.1738,043.1738,043.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,023.86-5,639.91-3,383.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)29,019.3132,403.2634,659.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.738.738.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,322.283,709.703,967.97
LTM Dividend per Share810.11810.11810.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,322.283,709.703,967.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,132.394,519.814,778.08
WACC / Discount Rate7.69%7.69%7.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$199,464.59$405,974.29$1,027,287.44
Upside / Downside767.24%1,665.11%4,366.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)45,119.2948,052.0451,175.4354,501.8358,044.4561,817.3463,671.86
Payout Ratio15.68%30.55%45.41%60.27%75.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,076.1214,678.2223,238.7032,850.0343,612.6455,635.6058,896.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.69%7.69%7.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13,502.6313,630.6113,758.60
Year 2 PV (M)19,665.3420,039.9120,418.02
Year 3 PV (M)25,572.3326,306.4227,054.43
Year 4 PV (M)31,231.4332,432.5033,667.89
Year 5 PV (M)36,650.2638,420.4940,258.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)828,018.55868,012.16909,536.41
Equity Value (M)954,640.55998,842.091,044,693.80
Shares Outstanding (M)8.738.738.73
Fair Value$109,292.26$114,352.68$119,602.03
Upside / Downside375.18%397.19%420.01%

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