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Definitive Analysis

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Samsung Card Co., Ltd. (029780.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$440,694.35 - $1,139,185.30$1,067,583.46
Multi-Stage$164,225.74 - $179,672.06$171,807.33
Blended Fair Value$619,695.39
Current Price$49,400.00
Upside1,154.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.33%12.69%2,397.242,397.242,205.461,726.011,534.231,534.961,477.431,477.431,555.481,036.98
YoY Growth--0.00%8.70%27.78%12.50%-0.05%3.89%0.00%-5.02%50.00%42.86%
Dividend Yield--5.99%6.52%7.25%5.34%4.45%5.13%4.19%4.12%3.97%2.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)637,456.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)298,790.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)338,666.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)127,491.3779,682.1147,809.27
Cash Retained (M)338,666.87338,666.87338,666.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-127,491.37-79,682.11-47,809.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)211,175.50258,984.76290,857.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)111.29111.29111.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,897.612,327.222,613.63
LTM Dividend per Share2,684.912,684.912,684.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,897.612,327.222,613.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,582.525,012.135,298.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$440,694.35$1,067,583.46$1,139,185.30
Upside / Downside792.09%2,061.10%2,206.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)637,456.87678,891.57723,019.52770,015.79820,066.82873,371.16899,572.30
Payout Ratio46.87%55.50%64.12%72.75%81.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)298,790.00376,769.56463,624.08560,177.84667,324.77786,034.05832,104.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)350,133.41353,452.21356,771.01
Year 2 PV (M)400,388.38408,014.66415,712.88
Year 3 PV (M)449,571.88462,477.48475,627.72
Year 4 PV (M)497,700.65516,840.81536,527.79
Year 5 PV (M)544,791.17571,104.79598,425.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,033,275.4616,807,688.6617,611,740.47
Equity Value (M)18,275,860.9519,119,578.6019,994,805.36
Shares Outstanding (M)111.29111.29111.29
Fair Value$164,225.74$171,807.33$179,672.06
Upside / Downside232.44%247.79%263.71%

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