Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Industry

Sector

Pak Fah Yeow International Limited (0239.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43.90 - $106.84$100.12
Multi-Stage$15.75 - $17.23$16.48
Blended Fair Value$58.30
Current Price$2.52
Upside2,213.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.68%3.15%0.210.150.080.070.080.110.140.130.120.12
YoY Growth--40.31%93.73%19.65%-22.42%-21.40%-24.49%13.38%1.17%1.65%-21.94%
Dividend Yield--8.65%8.49%6.36%4.17%4.59%4.00%4.92%3.61%3.50%2.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)167.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)88.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)79.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)33.4820.9312.56
Cash Retained (M)79.3579.3579.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-33.48-20.93-12.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.8758.4366.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)311.64311.64311.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.190.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.190.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.470.50
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$43.90$100.12$106.84
Upside / Downside1,642.16%3,873.16%4,139.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)167.42178.30189.89202.23215.38229.38236.26
Payout Ratio52.60%60.08%67.56%75.04%82.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)88.06107.12128.29151.76177.73206.44218.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)99.61100.56101.50
Year 2 PV (M)110.93113.04115.17
Year 3 PV (M)122.01125.52129.08
Year 4 PV (M)132.87137.98143.24
Year 5 PV (M)143.51150.44157.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,300.434,508.154,723.81
Equity Value (M)4,909.375,135.695,370.45
Shares Outstanding (M)311.64311.64311.64
Fair Value$15.75$16.48$17.23
Upside / Downside525.13%553.95%583.84%

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