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Definitive Analysis

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Youngbo Chemical Co., Ltd. (014440.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,199.13 - $8,903.46$7,521.03
Multi-Stage$17,085.68 - $18,863.55$17,956.61
Blended Fair Value$12,738.82
Current Price$4,420.00
Upside188.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.94%-6.70%50.0550.05100.1175.08103.70100.11100.11100.38100.11100.11
YoY Growth--0.00%-50.00%33.33%-27.60%3.59%0.00%-0.28%0.28%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.16%1.37%2.81%1.54%2.48%4.51%2.62%2.10%1.95%2.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17,827.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,825.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)11,001.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,565.502,228.441,337.06
Cash Retained (M)11,001.8711,001.8711,001.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,565.50-2,228.44-1,337.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,436.378,773.449,664.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.4819.4819.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share381.75450.39496.15
LTM Dividend per Share350.40350.40350.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share381.75450.39496.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend732.15800.79846.55
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate-4.88%-3.88%-2.88%
Fair Value$6,199.13$7,521.03$8,903.46
Upside / Downside40.25%70.16%101.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17,827.5117,136.2216,471.7315,833.0115,219.0614,628.9115,067.78
Payout Ratio38.29%48.63%58.97%69.31%79.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,825.648,333.299,713.7510,974.6212,123.1113,166.0213,937.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate-4.88%-3.88%-2.88%
Year 1 PV (M)7,753.707,835.217,916.73
Year 2 PV (M)8,409.548,587.298,766.89
Year 3 PV (M)8,840.329,122.079,409.74
Year 4 PV (M)9,086.259,474.419,874.87
Year 5 PV (M)9,181.599,674.4710,188.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)289,549.04305,092.26321,295.91
Equity Value (M)332,820.45349,785.70367,452.42
Shares Outstanding (M)19.4819.4819.48
Fair Value$17,085.68$17,956.61$18,863.55
Upside / Downside286.55%306.26%326.78%

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