Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

DongWon Development Co.,Ltd. (013120.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$567.48 - $797.93$681.90
Multi-Stage$1,724.88 - $1,902.02$1,811.65
Blended Fair Value$1,246.78
Current Price$2,690.00
Upside-53.65%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-15.44%0.00%80.47160.95150.89186.10171.01186.10149.28111.6680.1750.84
YoY Growth---50.00%6.67%-18.92%8.82%-8.11%24.66%33.69%39.27%57.69%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.67%5.91%4.55%3.44%3.17%5.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,518.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,264.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,253.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,703.661,064.79638.87
Cash Retained (M)1,253.661,253.661,253.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,703.66-1,064.79-638.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)-450.00188.87614.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)90.2790.2790.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share-4.982.096.81
LTM Dividend per Share80.4780.4780.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share-4.982.096.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend75.4982.5787.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-6.13%-5.13%-4.13%
Fair Value$567.48$681.90$797.93
Upside / Downside-78.90%-74.65%-70.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,518.308,081.107,666.337,272.856,899.576,545.456,741.81
Payout Ratio85.28%86.23%87.17%88.11%89.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,264.656,968.036,682.726,408.346,144.525,890.906,236.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-6.13%-5.13%-4.13%
Year 1 PV (M)6,482.646,551.716,620.77
Year 2 PV (M)5,784.135,908.026,033.23
Year 3 PV (M)5,160.275,326.965,497.19
Year 4 PV (M)4,603.174,802.495,008.20
Year 5 PV (M)4,105.764,329.174,562.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)129,573.25136,623.81143,977.99
Equity Value (M)155,709.22163,542.14171,699.59
Shares Outstanding (M)90.2790.2790.27
Fair Value$1,724.88$1,811.65$1,902.02
Upside / Downside-35.88%-32.65%-29.29%

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