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Definitive Analysis

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Mirae Asset Securities Co. Ltd. (006800.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$84,537.17 - $408,589.71$182,223.97
Multi-Stage$73,543.89 - $80,743.70$77,075.93
Blended Fair Value$129,649.95
Current Price$21,450.00
Upside504.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.20%0.00%154.04211.54324.90227.72315.84263.77213.7044.46258.497.08
YoY Growth---27.18%-34.89%42.68%-27.90%19.74%23.43%380.68%-82.80%3,549.47%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.68%2.65%5.03%2.66%3.20%5.01%2.85%0.48%2.86%0.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,220,193.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)148,678.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,071,514.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)244,038.68152,524.1891,514.51
Cash Retained (M)1,071,514.421,071,514.421,071,514.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-244,038.68-152,524.18-91,514.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)827,475.74918,990.25979,999.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)583.49583.49583.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,418.151,574.991,679.55
LTM Dividend per Share254.81254.81254.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,418.151,574.991,679.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,672.961,829.791,934.35
WACC / Discount Rate5.66%5.66%5.66%
Growth Rate3.61%4.61%5.61%
Fair Value$84,537.17$182,223.97$408,589.71
Upside / Downside294.11%749.53%1,804.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,220,193.421,276,492.781,335,389.781,397,004.281,461,461.641,528,893.051,574,759.85
Payout Ratio12.18%27.75%43.31%58.87%74.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)148,678.99354,199.90578,369.63822,471.581,087,867.831,376,003.751,456,652.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.66%5.66%5.66%
Growth Rate3.61%4.61%5.61%
Year 1 PV (M)332,007.72335,211.99338,416.27
Year 2 PV (M)508,165.26518,021.41527,972.23
Year 3 PV (M)677,360.91697,162.85717,347.01
Year 4 PV (M)839,798.52872,691.17906,540.73
Year 5 PV (M)995,676.681,044,660.521,095,553.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)39,559,207.8141,505,383.6543,527,412.87
Equity Value (M)42,912,216.8944,973,131.5947,113,242.63
Shares Outstanding (M)583.49583.49583.49
Fair Value$73,543.89$77,075.93$80,743.70
Upside / Downside242.86%259.33%276.43%

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