Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hanil Hyundai Cement Co., Ltd (006390.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$60,910.12 - $158,205.11$92,540.48
Multi-Stage$73,619.99 - $80,785.83$77,135.24
Blended Fair Value$84,837.86
Current Price$19,090.00
Upside344.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.18%0.00%699.97599.981,103.53957.31870.28693.630.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--16.67%-45.63%15.27%10.00%25.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.98%4.01%6.21%2.81%1.98%3.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)52,493.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17,394.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)35,099.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,498.716,561.703,937.02
Cash Retained (M)35,099.4435,099.4435,099.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,498.71-6,561.70-3,937.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)24,600.7328,537.7431,162.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.3319.3319.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,272.841,476.541,612.34
LTM Dividend per Share899.97899.97899.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,272.841,476.541,612.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,172.802,376.502,512.30
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate2.65%3.65%4.65%
Fair Value$60,910.12$92,540.48$158,205.11
Upside / Downside219.07%384.76%728.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)52,493.5654,411.8756,400.2758,461.3360,597.7262,812.1764,696.54
Payout Ratio33.14%44.51%55.88%67.25%78.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17,394.1324,217.9531,517.2839,317.7647,646.2656,530.9659,844.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate2.65%3.65%4.65%
Year 1 PV (M)22,559.4022,779.1622,998.92
Year 2 PV (M)27,348.2127,883.6328,424.23
Year 3 PV (M)31,780.3732,718.2133,674.32
Year 4 PV (M)35,874.7737,293.2238,753.32
Year 5 PV (M)39,649.4241,618.6243,665.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,265,678.141,328,538.531,393,872.07
Equity Value (M)1,422,890.311,490,831.371,561,388.15
Shares Outstanding (M)19.3319.3319.33
Fair Value$73,619.99$77,135.24$80,785.83
Upside / Downside285.65%304.06%323.18%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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