Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Green Cross Holdings Corporation (005257.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$92,198.74 - $197,858.12$131,443.43
Multi-Stage$90,376.55 - $98,927.46$94,572.81
Blended Fair Value$113,008.12
Current Price$129,200.00
Upside-12.53%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.55%2.86%1,711.372,175.082,101.511,621.891,114.401,084.571,249.991,343.211,796.151,316.75
YoY Growth---21.32%3.50%29.57%45.54%2.75%-13.23%-6.94%-25.22%36.41%1.97%
Dividend Yield--1.40%1.76%1.72%0.80%0.31%0.79%0.87%0.65%1.13%0.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)56,335.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18,831.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)37,503.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,267.037,041.894,225.14
Cash Retained (M)37,503.7937,503.7937,503.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,267.03-7,041.89-4,225.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)26,236.7630,461.8933,278.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.4111.4111.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,298.802,668.992,915.79
LTM Dividend per Share1,649.961,649.961,649.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,298.802,668.992,915.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,948.754,318.954,565.75
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate3.59%4.59%5.59%
Fair Value$92,198.74$131,443.43$197,858.12
Upside / Downside-28.64%1.74%53.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)56,335.1458,919.6061,622.6264,449.6567,406.3770,498.7372,613.70
Payout Ratio33.43%44.74%56.06%67.37%78.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18,831.3626,361.7534,543.4443,420.3453,039.0263,448.8667,167.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate3.59%4.59%5.59%
Year 1 PV (M)24,170.2324,403.5624,636.89
Year 2 PV (M)29,038.8129,602.1830,170.96
Year 3 PV (M)33,466.7234,445.3335,442.84
Year 4 PV (M)37,481.9438,950.3840,461.56
Year 5 PV (M)41,110.9043,133.9445,235.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)866,221.60908,847.74953,135.68
Equity Value (M)1,031,490.201,079,383.131,129,083.78
Shares Outstanding (M)11.4111.4111.41
Fair Value$90,376.55$94,572.81$98,927.46
Upside / Downside-30.05%-26.80%-23.43%

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