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Definitive Analysis

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Silla Co.,Ltd (004970.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32,913.81 - $174,369.95$65,474.67
Multi-Stage$26,165.81 - $28,658.04$27,388.78
Blended Fair Value$46,431.72
Current Price$9,090.00
Upside410.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.27%7.03%499.88499.88499.88507.15506.69506.69506.69253.35202.68304.01
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-1.43%0.09%0.00%0.00%100.00%25.00%-33.33%20.00%
Dividend Yield--5.94%5.71%4.70%4.02%4.90%5.81%3.53%1.49%1.37%1.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14,030.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,892.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,138.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,806.191,753.871,052.32
Cash Retained (M)6,138.466,138.466,138.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,806.19-1,753.87-1,052.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,332.274,384.595,086.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.7915.7915.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share211.05277.70322.14
LTM Dividend per Share499.88499.88499.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share211.05277.70322.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend710.93777.58822.02
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate4.06%5.06%6.06%
Fair Value$32,913.81$65,474.67$174,369.95
Upside / Downside262.09%620.29%1,818.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14,030.9614,741.2215,487.4416,271.4317,095.1117,960.4918,499.30
Payout Ratio56.25%63.00%69.75%76.50%83.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,892.509,287.0410,802.5512,447.6914,231.7016,164.4417,111.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate4.06%5.06%6.06%
Year 1 PV (M)8,652.688,735.838,818.97
Year 2 PV (M)9,377.189,558.279,741.09
Year 3 PV (M)10,067.1810,360.2010,658.86
Year 4 PV (M)10,723.8111,141.9911,572.29
Year 5 PV (M)11,348.1711,904.0112,481.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)362,956.46380,734.28399,201.99
Equity Value (M)413,125.46432,434.57452,474.62
Shares Outstanding (M)15.7915.7915.79
Fair Value$26,165.81$27,388.78$28,658.04
Upside / Downside187.85%201.31%215.27%

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