Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Kolon Global Corporation (003070.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,075.27 - $7,853.49$6,363.48
Multi-Stage$11,833.62 - $13,011.03$12,410.81
Blended Fair Value$9,387.15
Current Price$10,080.00
Upside-6.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.64%0.00%401.88502.27520.05520.05454.62389.19194.99131.13388.92785.20
YoY Growth---19.99%-3.42%0.00%14.39%16.81%99.60%48.70%-66.28%-50.47%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.84%5.54%3.65%2.36%2.13%5.62%1.95%1.32%2.70%5.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,679.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,873.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,805.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,135.861,334.91800.95
Cash Retained (M)2,805.382,805.382,805.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,135.86-1,334.91-800.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)669.521,470.462,004.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.5919.5919.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share34.1775.05102.31
LTM Dividend per Share401.88401.88401.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share34.1775.05102.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend436.06476.94504.19
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5,075.27$6,363.48$7,853.49
Upside / Downside-49.65%-36.87%-22.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,679.3010,572.5110,466.7810,362.1110,258.4910,155.9110,460.58
Payout Ratio73.73%76.98%80.24%83.49%86.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,873.928,139.208,398.388,651.578,898.859,140.329,676.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)7,570.937,648.197,725.44
Year 2 PV (M)7,266.607,415.657,566.22
Year 3 PV (M)6,963.037,178.367,398.09
Year 4 PV (M)6,662.006,938.117,222.72
Year 5 PV (M)6,365.036,696.477,041.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)197,022.65207,282.08217,964.51
Equity Value (M)231,850.25243,158.87254,918.56
Shares Outstanding (M)19.5919.5919.59
Fair Value$11,833.62$12,410.81$13,011.03
Upside / Downside17.40%23.12%29.08%

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