Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co., Ltd. (002823.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.50 - $146.99$54.31
Multi-Stage$16.02 - $17.50$16.75
Blended Fair Value$35.53
Current Price$16.80
Upside111.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.33%18.08%0.460.030.010.100.060.240.150.130.100.11
YoY Growth--1,366.89%244.43%-90.33%50.00%-73.33%63.04%15.01%33.33%-13.02%24.05%
Dividend Yield--3.19%0.30%0.09%1.00%0.57%2.37%1.13%0.89%0.66%0.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)233.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)147.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)85.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46.6529.1617.49
Cash Retained (M)85.2985.2985.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-46.65-29.16-17.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)38.6456.1467.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)315.56315.56315.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.180.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.470.470.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.180.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.590.650.68
WACC / Discount Rate7.77%7.77%7.77%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$27.50$54.31$146.99
Upside / Downside63.71%223.29%774.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)233.24248.40264.55281.74300.06319.56329.15
Payout Ratio63.43%68.75%74.06%79.37%84.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)147.95170.76195.92223.63254.11287.60304.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.77%7.77%7.77%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)156.97158.46159.94
Year 2 PV (M)165.54168.69171.88
Year 3 PV (M)173.68178.67183.75
Year 4 PV (M)181.41188.39195.56
Year 5 PV (M)188.74197.85207.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,190.274,392.664,602.80
Equity Value (M)5,056.625,284.735,521.26
Shares Outstanding (M)315.56315.56315.56
Fair Value$16.02$16.75$17.50
Upside / Downside-4.62%-0.32%4.15%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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