Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shanghai Liangxin Electrical Co.,LTD. (002706.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.47 - $56.35$20.56
Multi-Stage$6.21 - $6.77$6.49
Blended Fair Value$13.52
Current Price$11.35
Upside19.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.14%15.10%0.260.220.230.230.180.180.120.100.060.03
YoY Growth--21.91%-6.81%-0.54%30.03%0.63%47.74%24.99%60.86%114.47%-56.66%
Dividend Yield--2.93%2.71%1.82%1.93%0.76%1.96%2.34%1.73%0.85%0.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)305.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)243.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)62.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)61.1338.2122.92
Cash Retained (M)62.6262.6262.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-61.13-38.21-22.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.4924.4139.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,078.841,078.841,078.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.020.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.230.230.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.020.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.250.26
WACC / Discount Rate7.78%7.78%7.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$10.47$20.56$56.35
Upside / Downside-7.78%81.11%396.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)305.66325.53346.68369.22393.22418.78431.34
Payout Ratio79.51%81.61%83.71%85.81%87.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)243.04265.66290.20316.81345.65376.90398.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.78%7.78%7.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)244.16246.48248.79
Year 2 PV (M)245.13249.80254.51
Year 3 PV (M)245.95253.01260.20
Year 4 PV (M)246.62256.10265.86
Year 5 PV (M)247.15259.09271.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,468.485,732.616,006.85
Equity Value (M)6,697.496,997.087,307.69
Shares Outstanding (M)1,078.841,078.841,078.84
Fair Value$6.21$6.49$6.77
Upside / Downside-45.30%-42.86%-40.32%

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