Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Zhejiang Runtu Co., Ltd. (002440.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.48 - $2.08$1.78
Multi-Stage$4.36 - $4.82$4.59
Blended Fair Value$3.18
Current Price$7.06
Upside-54.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-20.85%-4.12%0.160.260.360.350.360.510.310.240.270.36
YoY Growth---39.52%-27.60%1.84%-1.57%-29.23%66.23%29.32%-10.66%-26.28%49.34%
Dividend Yield--2.34%4.22%4.67%4.11%3.67%5.30%1.96%1.67%2.38%2.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)287.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)174.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)112.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)57.5235.9521.57
Cash Retained (M)112.98112.98112.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-57.52-35.95-21.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)55.4677.0391.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,163.881,163.881,163.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.220.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate-6.12%-5.12%-4.12%
Fair Value$1.48$1.78$2.08
Upside / Downside-79.00%-74.77%-70.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)287.60272.88258.91245.66233.09221.16227.80
Payout Ratio60.72%66.57%72.43%78.29%84.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)174.62181.66187.53192.32196.13199.05210.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate-6.12%-5.12%-4.12%
Year 1 PV (M)168.94170.73172.53
Year 2 PV (M)162.17165.65169.16
Year 3 PV (M)154.66159.66164.76
Year 4 PV (M)146.67153.02159.58
Year 5 PV (M)138.42145.96153.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,308.454,542.854,787.34
Equity Value (M)5,079.325,337.875,607.18
Shares Outstanding (M)1,163.881,163.881,163.88
Fair Value$4.36$4.59$4.82
Upside / Downside-38.19%-35.04%-31.76%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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