Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Wangneng Environment Co., Ltd. (002034.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$221.25 - $260.67$244.28
Multi-Stage$61.74 - $67.66$64.65
Blended Fair Value$154.46
Current Price$16.78
Upside820.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS56.00%20.51%0.840.660.280.460.090.090.130.080.120.00
YoY Growth--28.08%133.64%-38.96%400.71%1.01%-32.00%77.56%-36.13%2,926.09%-97.00%
Dividend Yield--4.54%4.77%1.57%2.49%0.50%0.70%0.72%0.28%0.37%0.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)599.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)205.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)394.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)119.9774.9844.99
Cash Retained (M)394.72394.72394.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-119.97-74.98-44.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)274.75319.74349.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)457.67457.67457.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.600.700.76
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.600.700.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.051.151.21
WACC / Discount Rate5.21%5.21%5.21%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$221.25$244.28$260.67
Upside / Downside1,218.51%1,355.79%1,453.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)599.87638.86680.38724.61771.71821.87846.52
Payout Ratio34.20%45.36%56.52%67.68%78.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)205.14289.78384.55490.41608.41739.68783.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.21%5.21%5.21%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)272.84275.43278.01
Year 2 PV (M)340.90347.40353.95
Year 3 PV (M)409.34421.09433.06
Year 4 PV (M)478.15496.54515.45
Year 5 PV (M)547.33573.77601.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,205.9527,471.7128,785.91
Equity Value (M)28,254.5229,585.9330,967.61
Shares Outstanding (M)457.67457.67457.67
Fair Value$61.74$64.65$67.66
Upside / Downside267.91%285.25%303.24%

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