Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hyundai Motor Securities Co., Ltd. (001500.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15,970.50 - $29,774.31$21,611.97
Multi-Stage$23,191.14 - $25,465.43$24,306.62
Blended Fair Value$22,959.29
Current Price$8,330.00
Upside175.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.43%0.00%318.35415.22576.75483.56438.73268.91239.03239.03268.9189.64
YoY Growth---23.33%-28.01%19.27%10.22%63.15%12.50%0.00%-11.11%200.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.65%5.10%7.09%4.72%3.64%4.16%2.72%2.46%2.70%0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)52,573.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14,074.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)38,499.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,514.606,571.633,942.98
Cash Retained (M)38,499.0038,499.0038,499.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,514.60-6,571.63-3,942.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)27,984.4031,927.3834,556.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.0949.0949.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share570.02650.33703.87
LTM Dividend per Share286.67286.67286.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share570.02650.33703.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend856.69937.00990.55
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate1.43%2.43%3.43%
Fair Value$15,970.50$21,611.97$29,774.31
Upside / Downside91.72%159.45%257.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)52,573.0053,852.0055,162.1156,504.1057,878.7359,286.8061,065.41
Payout Ratio26.77%39.42%52.06%64.71%77.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14,074.0021,226.4728,718.6336,562.7644,771.5653,358.1256,485.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate1.43%2.43%3.43%
Year 1 PV (M)19,667.3419,861.2420,055.14
Year 2 PV (M)24,654.6925,143.2125,636.53
Year 3 PV (M)29,083.2329,951.9130,837.72
Year 4 PV (M)32,996.9534,317.5535,677.40
Year 5 PV (M)36,436.7838,268.6540,173.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)995,709.781,045,769.391,097,822.45
Equity Value (M)1,138,548.761,193,311.941,250,202.70
Shares Outstanding (M)49.0949.0949.09
Fair Value$23,191.14$24,306.62$25,465.43
Upside / Downside178.41%191.80%205.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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