Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Chuzhou Duoli Automotive Technology Co., Ltd. (001311.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.93 - $40.43$26.95
Multi-Stage$14.46 - $15.75$15.09
Blended Fair Value$21.02
Current Price$25.43
Upside-17.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS27.09%0.00%0.550.400.050.780.370.170.020.000.000.00
YoY Growth--38.40%632.23%-93.06%112.10%122.22%585.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.51%1.73%0.13%1.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)274.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)148.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)126.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)54.9534.3520.61
Cash Retained (M)126.56126.56126.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-54.95-34.35-20.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)71.6192.21105.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)274.51274.51274.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.260.340.39
LTM Dividend per Share0.540.540.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.260.340.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.800.880.93
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18.93$26.95$40.43
Upside / Downside-25.54%5.96%58.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)274.77292.63311.66331.91353.49376.46387.76
Payout Ratio53.94%61.15%68.36%75.58%82.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)148.21178.95213.06250.85292.65338.82358.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)161.21162.74164.27
Year 2 PV (M)172.91176.21179.53
Year 3 PV (M)183.40188.66194.03
Year 4 PV (M)192.75200.16207.78
Year 5 PV (M)201.04210.75220.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,057.003,204.663,357.96
Equity Value (M)3,968.314,143.174,324.40
Shares Outstanding (M)274.51274.51274.51
Fair Value$14.46$15.09$15.75
Upside / Downside-43.15%-40.65%-38.05%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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