Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Tianjin Yiyi Hygiene Products Co.,Ltd (001206.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.43 - $90.47$48.13
Multi-Stage$20.78 - $22.68$21.71
Blended Fair Value$34.92
Current Price$30.38
Upside14.94%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS75.15%0.00%0.890.600.360.410.000.050.030.030.030.04
YoY Growth--47.65%69.28%-12.50%0.00%-100.00%104.90%-10.39%15.27%-30.09%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.75%4.50%2.02%2.25%0.00%0.17%0.08%0.09%0.08%0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)220.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)110.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)110.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.1827.6116.57
Cash Retained (M)110.27110.27110.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.18-27.61-16.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)66.0982.6693.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)184.92184.92184.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.360.450.51
LTM Dividend per Share0.600.600.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.360.450.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.961.051.10
WACC / Discount Rate8.81%8.81%8.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$30.43$48.13$90.47
Upside / Downside0.17%58.41%197.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)220.89235.25250.54266.82284.17302.64311.71
Payout Ratio50.08%58.06%66.05%74.03%82.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)110.62136.59165.47197.53233.06272.37288.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.81%8.81%8.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)124.35125.53126.71
Year 2 PV (M)137.14139.75142.39
Year 3 PV (M)149.04153.32157.68
Year 4 PV (M)160.09166.24172.58
Year 5 PV (M)170.32178.55187.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,101.763,251.583,407.13
Equity Value (M)3,842.704,014.974,193.57
Shares Outstanding (M)184.92184.92184.92
Fair Value$20.78$21.71$22.68
Upside / Downside-31.60%-28.53%-25.35%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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