Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PKU HealthCare Corp.,Ltd. (000788.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.17 - $3.34$2.71
Multi-Stage$6.23 - $6.88$6.55
Blended Fair Value$4.63
Current Price$6.14
Upside-24.56%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.30%-7.51%0.080.010.050.030.020.040.030.010.050.12
YoY Growth--1,099.95%-85.96%42.79%42.81%-45.66%34.43%124.25%-70.36%-61.38%-28.92%
Dividend Yield--1.35%0.12%0.64%0.26%0.36%0.68%0.37%0.19%0.38%1.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)143.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)48.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)95.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.7217.9510.77
Cash Retained (M)95.3295.3295.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.72-17.95-10.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)66.6077.3784.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)595.90595.90595.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.190.210.22
WACC / Discount Rate5.67%5.67%5.67%
Growth Rate-2.95%-1.95%-0.95%
Fair Value$2.17$2.71$3.34
Upside / Downside-64.64%-55.80%-45.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)143.61140.81138.07135.38132.74130.16134.06
Payout Ratio33.62%44.90%56.17%67.45%78.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)48.2863.2277.5691.31104.50117.14124.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.67%5.67%5.67%
Growth Rate-2.95%-1.95%-0.95%
Year 1 PV (M)59.2259.8360.44
Year 2 PV (M)68.0569.4670.88
Year 3 PV (M)75.0477.3979.78
Year 4 PV (M)80.4483.8187.28
Year 5 PV (M)84.4788.9193.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,348.073,524.153,707.56
Equity Value (M)3,715.283,903.534,099.47
Shares Outstanding (M)595.90595.90595.90
Fair Value$6.23$6.55$6.88
Upside / Downside1.54%6.69%12.04%

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