Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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An Hui Wenergy Company Limited (000543.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$113.67 - $209.39$196.23
Multi-Stage$33.66 - $36.81$35.21
Blended Fair Value$115.72
Current Price$7.10
Upside1,529.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.74%7.20%0.630.470.500.280.310.250.210.220.370.23
YoY Growth--34.73%-5.96%78.28%-9.66%25.75%19.29%-5.11%-40.94%59.50%-26.73%
Dividend Yield--8.51%5.70%10.16%7.15%6.70%6.41%3.78%4.52%5.32%3.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,386.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,651.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)735.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)477.38298.36179.02
Cash Retained (M)735.51735.51735.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-477.38-298.36-179.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)258.14437.15556.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,267.052,267.052,267.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.190.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.730.730.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.190.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.840.920.97
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$113.67$196.23$209.39
Upside / Downside1,501.00%2,663.77%2,849.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,386.902,542.042,707.282,883.253,070.663,270.263,368.36
Payout Ratio69.19%73.35%77.51%81.67%85.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,651.381,864.552,098.442,354.872,635.772,943.233,115.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,737.871,754.341,770.81
Year 2 PV (M)1,823.001,857.721,892.77
Year 3 PV (M)1,906.771,961.512,017.29
Year 4 PV (M)1,989.222,065.722,144.41
Year 5 PV (M)2,070.362,170.352,274.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)66,784.5870,010.3073,359.48
Equity Value (M)76,311.8079,819.9583,458.94
Shares Outstanding (M)2,267.052,267.052,267.05
Fair Value$33.66$35.21$36.81
Upside / Downside374.10%395.90%418.51%

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