Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Pacific Shuanglin Bio-pharmacy Co., Ltd. (000403.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$111.83 - $131.75$123.47
Multi-Stage$30.65 - $33.57$32.08
Blended Fair Value$77.78
Current Price$16.18
Upside380.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.85%38.65%0.310.080.060.010.210.170.030.010.000.01
YoY Growth--296.23%34.48%312.09%-93.26%23.68%521.38%364.90%0.00%-100.00%-20.83%
Dividend Yield--1.89%0.35%0.32%0.09%0.75%1.48%0.31%0.06%0.00%0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)559.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)371.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)187.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)111.9569.9741.98
Cash Retained (M)187.81187.81187.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-111.95-69.97-41.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)75.85117.84145.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)844.94844.94844.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.140.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.140.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.530.580.61
WACC / Discount Rate5.28%5.28%5.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$111.83$123.47$131.75
Upside / Downside591.16%663.12%714.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)559.77596.15634.90676.17720.12766.93789.94
Payout Ratio66.45%71.16%75.87%80.58%85.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)371.96424.22481.70544.86614.19690.24730.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.28%5.28%5.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)399.16402.94406.72
Year 2 PV (M)426.46434.59442.79
Year 3 PV (M)453.88466.91480.19
Year 4 PV (M)481.41499.93518.97
Year 5 PV (M)509.06533.65559.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,627.1024,768.3025,953.17
Equity Value (M)25,897.0727,106.3128,361.01
Shares Outstanding (M)844.94844.94844.94
Fair Value$30.65$32.08$33.57
Upside / Downside89.43%98.27%107.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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