Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Telefônica Brasil S.A. (VIVT3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.18 - $48.04$37.56
Multi-Stage$32.34 - $35.33$33.81
Blended Fair Value$35.68
Current Price$34.07
Upside4.74%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-16.33%0.35%1.051.582.362.022.172.551.711.511.221.52
YoY Growth---33.92%-32.87%16.48%-6.81%-14.85%49.31%12.77%23.67%-19.36%50.36%
Dividend Yield--4.20%5.99%11.00%6.55%7.60%7.02%4.76%3.37%3.10%3.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,053.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,580.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,473.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,210.68756.68454.01
Cash Retained (M)3,473.123,473.123,473.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,210.68-756.68-454.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,262.442,716.443,019.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,421.582,421.582,421.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.931.121.25
LTM Dividend per Share1.071.071.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.931.121.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.002.192.31
WACC / Discount Rate9.80%9.80%9.80%
Growth Rate2.76%3.76%4.76%
Fair Value$29.18$37.56$48.04
Upside / Downside-14.35%10.25%41.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,053.406,280.766,516.666,761.437,015.387,278.877,497.24
Payout Ratio42.63%52.10%61.58%71.05%80.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,580.293,272.304,012.654,804.005,649.146,550.996,934.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.80%9.80%9.80%
Growth Rate2.76%3.76%4.76%
Year 1 PV (M)2,951.572,980.303,009.02
Year 2 PV (M)3,264.633,328.483,392.94
Year 3 PV (M)3,525.383,629.313,735.27
Year 4 PV (M)3,739.273,886.964,038.99
Year 5 PV (M)3,911.214,105.274,306.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)60,910.2563,932.3367,073.19
Equity Value (M)78,302.3181,862.6585,556.37
Shares Outstanding (M)2,421.582,421.582,421.58
Fair Value$32.34$33.81$35.33
Upside / Downside-5.09%-0.78%3.70%

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