Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

The Timken Company (TKR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44.30 - $70.34$56.16
Multi-Stage$53.56 - $58.61$56.04
Blended Fair Value$56.10
Current Price$75.18
Upside-25.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.51%0.62%1.371.341.301.311.241.211.221.181.161.24
YoY Growth--2.23%2.51%-0.54%5.98%2.47%-0.93%2.88%2.08%-6.21%-3.65%
Dividend Yield--1.90%1.52%1.59%2.16%1.52%3.73%2.68%2.70%2.57%3.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)297.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)97.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)199.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.4637.1622.30
Cash Retained (M)199.50199.50199.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.46-37.16-22.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)140.04162.34177.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)70.3670.3670.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.992.312.52
LTM Dividend per Share1.391.391.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.992.312.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.383.703.91
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Fair Value$44.30$56.16$70.34
Upside / Downside-41.07%-25.30%-6.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)297.30305.64314.21323.03332.09341.40351.64
Payout Ratio32.90%44.32%55.74%67.16%78.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)97.80135.45175.13216.94260.95307.26325.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.57%9.57%9.57%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Year 1 PV (M)122.41123.62124.82
Year 2 PV (M)143.04145.87148.72
Year 3 PV (M)160.13164.90169.76
Year 4 PV (M)174.08181.02188.17
Year 5 PV (M)185.25194.53204.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,983.303,132.733,288.09
Equity Value (M)3,768.233,942.674,123.73
Shares Outstanding (M)70.3670.3670.36
Fair Value$53.56$56.04$58.61
Upside / Downside-28.76%-25.46%-22.04%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 45 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
558.SIUMS Holdings Limited3.60%$0.0588.87%
601019.SSShandong Publishing&Media Co.,Ltd3.60%$0.3141.99%
603233.SSDaShenLin Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd.3.60%$0.6463.21%
603658.SSAutobio Diagnostics Co., Ltd.3.60%$1.2766.33%
603661.SSHenglin Home Furnishings Co.,Ltd3.60%$1.1557.55%
6371.TTsubakimoto Chain Co.3.60%$83.2737.31%
FSMART.BKForth Smart Service Public Company Limited3.60%$0.2331.86%
KABE-B.STKABE Group AB (publ.)3.60%$8.0076.60%
SKLT.JKPT Sekar Laut Tbk3.60%$9.0042.24%
TFMAMA.BKThai President Foods Public Company Limited3.60%$6.9357.58%
002469.SZShandong Sunway Chemical Group Co., Ltd.3.59%$0.3072.05%
216050.KQIncross Co., Ltd.3.59%$241.9426.78%
2845.TWFar Eastern International Bank Ltd.3.59%$0.4654.51%
6461.TNippon Piston Ring Co., Ltd.3.59%$68.2725.12%
7751.TCanon Inc.3.59%$166.4591.69%
E4C.DEEcotel Communication Ag3.59%$0.4282.27%
LHA.DEDeutsche Lufthansa AG3.59%$0.3122.46%
NTBThe Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited3.59%$1.7833.40%
SVOA.BKSVOA Public Company Limited3.59%$0.0521.40%
TRAC-B.STAB Traction3.59%$9.0082.36%
0IX0.LGL Events S.A.3.58%$1.0420.20%
0QNG.LJungfraubahn Holding AG3.58%$10.2542.20%
3231.TNomura Real Estate Holdings, Inc.3.58%$34.6440.45%
4106.TWWellell Inc.3.58%$0.8058.20%
EIK.ICEik fasteignafélag hf.3.58%$0.5024.04%
053690.KSHanmiGlobal Co., Ltd.3.57%$642.0628.05%
286940.KSLotte Innovate Co Ltd3.57%$699.8899.32%
601158.SSChongqing Water Group Co.,Ltd.3.57%$0.1691.61%
ILC.SNInversiones La Construcción S.A.3.57%$650.4128.71%
058850.KSKtcs Corporation3.56%$100.0915.29%
1294.TWOHantech Bio-Technology Co., Ltd.3.56%$2.8166.03%
3283.TNippon Prologis REIT, Inc.3.56%$3,304.8853.00%
688121.SSShanghai Supezet Engineering Technology Corp., Ltd.3.56%$0.3973.41%
EMIRATESNBD.AEEmirates NBD Bank PJSC3.56%$1.0228.25%
FLEXO.ATFlexopack Société Anonyme Commercial and Industrial Plastics Company3.56%$0.3017.58%
006040.KSDongwon Industries Co., Ltd.3.55%$1,474.3049.91%
2715.TElematec Corporation3.55%$84.9964.74%
3700.HKInkeverse Group Limited3.55%$0.0411.74%
600958.SSOrient Securities Company Limited3.55%$0.3963.25%
7955.TCleanup Corporation3.55%$31.0045.30%
ISAT.JKPT Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison Tbk3.55%$83.7958.49%
PBSA.JKPT Paramita Bangun Sarana Tbk3.55%$55.0071.03%
004800.KSHyosung Corporation3.54%$3,986.8920.54%
6414.TWEnnoconn Corporation3.54%$10.1352.07%
WIHL.STWihlborgs Fastigheter AB (publ)3.54%$3.2044.13%
002081.SZSuzhou Gold Mantis Construction Decoration Co., Ltd.3.53%$0.1270.03%
0RHV.LInvestis Holding S.A.3.53%$5.1018.83%
2760.TTokyo Electron Device Limited3.53%$119.8646.59%
5515.TWChien Kuo Construction Co., Ltd.3.53%$1.2751.00%
600603.SSGuanghui Logistics Co.Ltd3.53%$0.2263.76%