Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

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Sector

Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida (SBCF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38.86 - $100.89$59.02
Multi-Stage$27.36 - $29.85$28.58
Blended Fair Value$43.80
Current Price$30.43
Upside43.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%119.27%0.720.710.480.260.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--1.75%46.92%83.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%54.17%
Dividend Yield--2.79%2.85%2.03%0.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)144.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)62.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)82.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.9418.0910.85
Cash Retained (M)82.3582.3582.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.94-18.09-10.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)53.4164.2671.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)85.8485.8485.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.750.83
LTM Dividend per Share0.730.730.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.750.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.351.481.56
WACC / Discount Rate9.16%9.16%9.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$38.86$59.02$100.89
Upside / Downside27.69%93.96%231.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)144.70154.11164.13174.79186.16198.26204.20
Payout Ratio43.09%52.47%61.86%71.24%80.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)62.3680.87101.52124.52150.08178.43188.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.16%9.16%9.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)73.3874.0874.77
Year 2 PV (M)83.6085.1986.80
Year 3 PV (M)93.0595.7298.45
Year 4 PV (M)101.78105.69109.72
Year 5 PV (M)109.81115.11120.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,886.631,977.762,072.37
Equity Value (M)2,348.262,453.562,562.73
Shares Outstanding (M)85.8485.8485.84
Fair Value$27.36$28.58$29.85
Upside / Downside-10.10%-6.07%-1.89%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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