Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Mastersystem Infotama Tbk. (MSTI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,496.20 - $2,282.70$1,864.48
Multi-Stage$3,259.34 - $3,581.81$3,417.43
Blended Fair Value$2,640.95
Current Price$1,565.00
Upside68.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%99.83111.4952.56127.4227.550.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---10.46%112.12%-58.75%362.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.11%7.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)528,628.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)370,451.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)158,177.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)105,725.7566,078.5939,647.15
Cash Retained (M)158,177.62158,177.62158,177.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-105,725.75-66,078.59-39,647.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)52,451.8792,099.03118,530.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,139.273,139.273,139.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.7129.3437.76
LTM Dividend per Share118.01118.01118.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.7129.3437.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend134.71147.34155.76
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,496.20$1,864.48$2,282.70
Upside / Downside-4.40%19.14%45.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)528,628.73523,342.44518,109.02512,927.93507,798.65502,720.66517,802.28
Payout Ratio70.08%74.06%78.05%82.03%86.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)370,451.11387,598.92404,366.73420,760.42436,785.80452,448.60478,967.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)359,174.99362,840.04366,505.09
Year 2 PV (M)347,234.18354,356.74361,551.62
Year 3 PV (M)334,815.42345,169.81355,735.51
Year 4 PV (M)322,079.15335,427.82349,187.19
Year 5 PV (M)309,162.54325,261.35342,023.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,559,467.639,005,178.979,469,267.28
Equity Value (M)10,231,933.9010,728,234.7311,244,270.62
Shares Outstanding (M)3,139.273,139.273,139.27
Fair Value$3,259.34$3,417.43$3,581.81
Upside / Downside108.26%118.37%128.87%

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