Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Lalique Group S.A. (LLQ.SW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Luxury GoodsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$276.48 - $325.81$305.30
Multi-Stage$187.74 - $206.21$196.80
Blended Fair Value$251.05
Current Price$38.11
Upside558.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS10.96%0.00%0.500.380.000.000.360.290.080.040.000.00
YoY Growth--30.63%0.00%0.00%-100.00%22.73%250.32%93.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.30%1.17%0.00%0.00%1.01%0.67%0.18%0.09%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.441.520.91
Cash Retained (M)5.605.605.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.44-1.52-0.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.164.074.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.367.367.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.430.550.64
LTM Dividend per Share0.900.900.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.430.550.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.451.53
WACC / Discount Rate1.42%1.42%1.42%
Growth Rate4.21%5.21%6.21%
Fair Value$276.48$305.30$325.81
Upside / Downside625.47%701.10%754.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12.2012.8313.5014.2114.9515.7316.20
Payout Ratio54.12%61.30%68.47%75.65%82.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.607.879.2510.7512.3814.1514.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.42%1.42%1.42%
Growth Rate4.21%5.21%6.21%
Year 1 PV (M)7.687.767.83
Year 2 PV (M)8.828.999.16
Year 3 PV (M)10.0110.3010.60
Year 4 PV (M)11.2611.7012.15
Year 5 PV (M)12.5713.1913.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,330.831,395.921,463.53
Equity Value (M)1,381.171,447.851,517.10
Shares Outstanding (M)7.367.367.36
Fair Value$187.74$196.80$206.21
Upside / Downside392.62%416.41%441.10%

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