Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Dynacor Group Inc. (DNG.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.52 - $7.36$5.79
Multi-Stage$3.74 - $4.07$3.90
Blended Fair Value$4.84
Current Price$3.37
Upside43.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.15%0.00%0.090.080.070.060.040.030.010.000.000.00
YoY Growth--10.70%14.33%17.06%47.33%46.37%281.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.81%2.37%3.28%2.25%2.57%3.17%0.62%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)11.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.161.971.18
Cash Retained (M)11.3411.3411.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.16-1.97-1.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.189.3610.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.8240.8240.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate12.73%12.73%12.73%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4.52$5.79$7.36
Upside / Downside34.08%71.81%118.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15.8016.8317.9219.0820.3321.6522.30
Payout Ratio28.25%40.60%52.95%65.30%77.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.466.839.4912.4615.7819.4820.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.73%12.73%12.73%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)6.006.066.12
Year 2 PV (M)7.337.477.61
Year 3 PV (M)8.468.708.95
Year 4 PV (M)9.419.7710.15
Year 5 PV (M)10.2110.7011.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)111.08116.45122.02
Equity Value (M)152.49159.15166.05
Shares Outstanding (M)40.8240.8240.82
Fair Value$3.74$3.90$4.07
Upside / Downside10.84%15.68%20.70%

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