Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Periods / Units / Analysis

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Cury Construtora e Incorporadora S.A. (CURY3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$351.49 - $575.67$539.49
Multi-Stage$93.97 - $102.85$98.33
Blended Fair Value$318.91
Current Price$34.57
Upside822.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.19%21.83%1.611.090.500.550.560.450.470.230.000.27
YoY Growth--47.26%118.90%-9.09%-2.94%26.52%-4.70%104.28%0.00%-100.00%19.58%
Dividend Yield--6.54%5.39%3.88%7.24%5.80%4.72%4.95%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)871.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)429.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)441.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)174.25108.9165.34
Cash Retained (M)441.91441.91441.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-174.25-108.91-65.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)267.66333.00376.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)300.98300.98300.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.891.111.25
LTM Dividend per Share1.431.431.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.891.111.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.322.532.68
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$351.49$539.49$575.67
Upside / Downside916.74%1,460.57%1,565.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)871.24927.87988.191,052.421,120.821,193.681,229.49
Payout Ratio49.28%57.42%65.57%73.71%81.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)429.34532.81647.93775.75917.461,074.311,137.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)497.02501.73506.44
Year 2 PV (M)563.80574.54585.38
Year 3 PV (M)629.68647.75666.17
Year 4 PV (M)694.67721.39748.87
Year 5 PV (M)758.79795.44833.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,140.7326,355.0427,615.82
Equity Value (M)28,284.6929,595.8930,956.17
Shares Outstanding (M)300.98300.98300.98
Fair Value$93.97$98.33$102.85
Upside / Downside171.84%184.44%197.51%

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