Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

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Sector

Euro Tech Holdings Company Limited (CLWT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.94 - $4.49$3.67
Multi-Stage$6.14 - $6.76$6.45
Blended Fair Value$5.06
Current Price$1.39
Upside263.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.080.000.060.130.170.000.190.000.000.00
YoY Growth--4,307.14%-96.98%-55.00%-20.63%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.75%0.11%4.20%6.27%11.76%0.00%22.13%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.510.320.19
Cash Retained (M)1.931.931.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.51-0.32-0.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.421.611.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.727.727.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.210.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.210.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.290.31
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.94$3.67$4.49
Upside / Downside111.71%163.76%222.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2.562.542.512.492.462.442.51
Payout Ratio24.63%37.70%50.78%63.85%76.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.630.961.281.591.892.192.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)0.890.900.90
Year 2 PV (M)1.091.121.14
Year 3 PV (M)1.261.301.34
Year 4 PV (M)1.401.451.51
Year 5 PV (M)1.501.581.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)41.2843.4345.67
Equity Value (M)47.4249.7852.23
Shares Outstanding (M)7.727.727.72
Fair Value$6.14$6.45$6.76
Upside / Downside341.80%363.75%386.58%

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