Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Ticker

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Sector

Mulkia Investment Co. (9585.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45.56 - $68.84$56.53
Multi-Stage$92.23 - $101.47$96.76
Blended Fair Value$76.65
Current Price$41.67
Upside83.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%2.010.002.230.400.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%453.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.54%0.00%8.70%1.57%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.275.173.10
Cash Retained (M)25.6625.6625.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.27-5.17-3.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)17.3920.4922.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.807.807.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.232.632.89
LTM Dividend per Share2.012.012.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.232.632.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.244.644.91
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$45.56$56.53$68.84
Upside / Downside9.34%35.67%65.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41.3740.9640.5540.1439.7439.3440.52
Payout Ratio37.97%48.38%58.78%69.19%79.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.7119.8123.8327.7731.6335.4137.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)18.3118.4918.68
Year 2 PV (M)20.3520.7721.19
Year 3 PV (M)21.9122.5923.28
Year 4 PV (M)23.0624.0225.00
Year 5 PV (M)23.8525.1026.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)611.90643.77676.94
Equity Value (M)719.39754.74791.49
Shares Outstanding (M)7.807.807.80
Fair Value$92.23$96.76$101.47
Upside / Downside121.33%132.21%143.52%

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