Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Advanced Power Electronics Co., Ltd. (8261.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$112.19 - $288.84$169.97
Multi-Stage$108.51 - $118.77$113.55
Blended Fair Value$141.76
Current Price$81.40
Upside74.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.36%0.00%2.484.934.100.680.340.680.310.480.690.61
YoY Growth---49.77%20.21%500.00%100.00%-50.00%122.28%-35.67%-30.27%12.25%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.07%5.54%3.94%0.62%0.58%3.84%1.05%1.77%2.44%2.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)594.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)294.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)299.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)118.8374.2744.56
Cash Retained (M)299.46299.46299.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-118.83-74.27-44.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)180.63225.19254.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)119.06119.06119.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.521.892.14
LTM Dividend per Share2.482.482.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.521.892.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.994.374.62
WACC / Discount Rate7.34%7.34%7.34%
Growth Rate3.65%4.65%5.65%
Fair Value$112.19$169.97$288.84
Upside / Downside37.83%108.81%254.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)594.17621.79650.70680.95712.61745.74768.11
Payout Ratio49.60%57.68%65.76%73.84%81.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)294.70358.65427.90502.81583.77671.17710.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.34%7.34%7.34%
Growth Rate3.65%4.65%5.65%
Year 1 PV (M)330.94334.13337.32
Year 2 PV (M)364.33371.39378.53
Year 3 PV (M)395.04406.58418.35
Year 4 PV (M)423.21439.78456.83
Year 5 PV (M)448.97471.05493.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,957.1211,495.9912,055.85
Equity Value (M)12,919.6113,518.9214,140.87
Shares Outstanding (M)119.06119.06119.06
Fair Value$108.51$113.55$118.77
Upside / Downside33.31%39.49%45.91%

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