Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Canon Electronics Inc. (7739.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,181.22 - $1,693.05$1,431.72
Multi-Stage$1,711.38 - $1,878.14$1,793.16
Blended Fair Value$1,612.44
Current Price$2,730.00
Upside-40.94%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.04%0.66%64.9460.0554.9750.0359.9879.8179.9359.8859.8159.83
YoY Growth--8.14%9.25%9.87%-16.59%-24.85%-0.15%33.48%0.12%-0.04%-1.57%
Dividend Yield--2.61%2.56%2.98%3.12%3.48%5.00%4.31%2.53%3.32%3.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,918.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,431.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,487.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,383.60864.75518.85
Cash Retained (M)5,487.005,487.005,487.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,383.60-864.75-518.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,103.404,622.254,968.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.9040.9040.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share100.33113.02121.47
LTM Dividend per Share34.9934.9934.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share100.33113.02121.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend135.32148.01156.46
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate-1.34%-0.34%0.66%
Fair Value$1,181.22$1,431.72$1,693.05
Upside / Downside-56.73%-47.56%-37.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,918.006,894.736,871.546,848.436,825.406,802.447,006.51
Payout Ratio20.69%34.55%48.41%62.27%76.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,431.002,382.003,326.594,264.805,196.656,122.196,481.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate-1.34%-0.34%0.66%
Year 1 PV (M)2,144.382,166.112,187.85
Year 2 PV (M)2,695.992,750.922,806.40
Year 3 PV (M)3,111.563,207.133,304.64
Year 4 PV (M)3,413.213,553.713,698.49
Year 5 PV (M)3,619.983,807.194,002.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)55,007.9057,852.6460,813.86
Equity Value (M)69,993.0273,337.6976,813.30
Shares Outstanding (M)40.9040.9040.90
Fair Value$1,711.38$1,793.16$1,878.14
Upside / Downside-37.31%-34.32%-31.20%

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