Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Potens (7712.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.75 - $73.95$59.89
Multi-Stage$107.78 - $118.75$113.15
Blended Fair Value$86.52
Current Price$120.50
Upside-28.20%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%1.410.000.920.610.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.03%0.00%0.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)159.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)44.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)115.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.9819.9911.99
Cash Retained (M)115.75115.75115.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.98-19.99-11.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)83.7895.77103.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)31.2731.2731.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.683.063.32
LTM Dividend per Share1.411.411.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.683.063.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.094.474.73
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$47.75$59.89$73.95
Upside / Downside-60.37%-50.30%-38.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)159.89158.29156.71155.14153.59152.05156.61
Payout Ratio27.60%40.08%52.56%65.04%77.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)44.1463.4582.37100.91119.06136.85144.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)59.0359.6360.24
Year 2 PV (M)71.3072.7674.24
Year 3 PV (M)81.2783.7886.34
Year 4 PV (M)89.2192.9196.72
Year 5 PV (M)95.40100.37105.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,973.743,128.593,289.83
Equity Value (M)3,369.963,538.053,712.91
Shares Outstanding (M)31.2731.2731.27
Fair Value$107.78$113.15$118.75
Upside / Downside-10.56%-6.10%-1.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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