Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Elegant Home-Tech Co., Ltd. (603221.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.70 - $4.24$3.41
Multi-Stage$3.96 - $4.33$4.15
Blended Fair Value$3.78
Current Price$12.52
Upside-69.83%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS46.52%0.00%0.140.030.040.110.180.020.910.350.301.03
YoY Growth--430.98%-42.76%-57.28%-42.63%806.67%-97.76%161.32%15.79%-71.01%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.48%0.22%0.57%1.15%1.56%0.12%4.87%1.86%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)65.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)51.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.198.244.95
Cash Retained (M)14.1214.1214.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.19-8.24-4.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.935.889.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)243.98243.98243.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.020.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.020.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.220.240.25
WACC / Discount Rate8.75%8.75%8.75%
Growth Rate0.70%1.70%2.70%
Fair Value$2.70$3.41$4.24
Upside / Downside-78.41%-72.77%-66.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)65.9467.0668.2069.3670.5371.7373.88
Payout Ratio78.59%80.87%83.15%85.44%87.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)51.8254.2356.7159.2561.8764.5668.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.75%8.75%8.75%
Growth Rate0.70%1.70%2.70%
Year 1 PV (M)49.3849.8750.36
Year 2 PV (M)47.0147.9548.90
Year 3 PV (M)44.7246.0747.44
Year 4 PV (M)42.5244.2346.00
Year 5 PV (M)40.3942.4444.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)743.21780.86820.01
Equity Value (M)967.231,011.411,057.26
Shares Outstanding (M)243.98243.98243.98
Fair Value$3.96$4.15$4.33
Upside / Downside-68.34%-66.89%-65.39%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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