Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

AEON Credit Service (M) Berhad (5139.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.88 - $28.04$18.46
Multi-Stage$10.57 - $11.56$11.06
Blended Fair Value$14.76
Current Price$4.85
Upside204.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.10%6.90%0.280.250.240.240.120.220.210.190.170.17
YoY Growth--14.14%2.06%0.00%109.88%-47.56%6.41%6.76%14.42%1.09%15.66%
Dividend Yield--4.93%3.42%4.25%3.33%0.97%2.45%1.29%1.31%1.32%1.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)342.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)72.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)270.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)68.5642.8525.71
Cash Retained (M)270.05270.05270.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-68.56-42.85-25.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)201.49227.20244.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)510.62510.62510.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.390.440.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.390.440.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.540.590.62
WACC / Discount Rate8.96%8.96%8.96%
Growth Rate4.60%5.60%6.60%
Fair Value$12.88$18.46$28.04
Upside / Downside165.60%280.53%478.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)342.82362.01382.28403.69426.30450.17463.67
Payout Ratio21.23%34.98%48.74%62.49%76.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)72.76126.63186.31252.27325.03405.15428.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.96%8.96%8.96%
Growth Rate4.60%5.60%6.60%
Year 1 PV (M)115.12116.22117.32
Year 2 PV (M)153.97156.92159.91
Year 3 PV (M)189.52195.01200.60
Year 4 PV (M)221.98230.59239.45
Year 5 PV (M)251.54263.79276.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,467.094,684.744,910.80
Equity Value (M)5,399.205,647.275,904.59
Shares Outstanding (M)510.62510.62510.62
Fair Value$10.57$11.06$11.56
Upside / Downside118.02%128.04%138.43%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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