Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Zhejiang Kingland Pipeline and Technologies Co.,Ltd. (002443.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.72 - $2.36$2.04
Multi-Stage$4.56 - $5.03$4.79
Blended Fair Value$3.42
Current Price$7.72
Upside-55.74%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-24.39%-6.63%0.060.060.410.400.320.240.160.100.140.12
YoY Growth--6.00%-86.08%1.21%28.41%28.88%56.05%60.42%-32.02%17.69%1.70%
Dividend Yield--1.01%0.86%6.25%5.19%4.29%4.23%1.92%1.12%1.20%1.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)172.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)110.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.4421.5212.91
Cash Retained (M)61.8061.8061.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.44-21.52-12.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.3640.2848.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)524.23524.23524.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.290.30
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate-7.06%-6.06%-5.06%
Fair Value$1.72$2.04$2.36
Upside / Downside-77.73%-73.52%-69.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)172.18161.75151.96142.75134.10125.98129.76
Payout Ratio64.11%69.29%74.47%79.64%84.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)110.38112.07113.15113.69113.75113.38120.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate-7.06%-6.06%-5.06%
Year 1 PV (M)103.48104.60105.71
Year 2 PV (M)96.4798.56100.67
Year 3 PV (M)89.5092.4295.40
Year 4 PV (M)82.6886.3090.03
Year 5 PV (M)76.1080.2884.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,941.772,048.512,159.88
Equity Value (M)2,390.012,510.662,636.34
Shares Outstanding (M)524.23524.23524.23
Fair Value$4.56$4.79$5.03
Upside / Downside-40.94%-37.96%-34.86%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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