Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $726,930.36 - $856,447.13 | $802,616.39 |
| Multi-Stage | $197,730.12 - $216,824.84 | $207,100.19 |
| Blended Fair Value | $504,858.29 | |
| Current Price | $22,450.00 | |
| Upside | 2,148.81% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 14.95% | 0.00% | 1,173.93 | 1,307.65 | 875.44 | 492.33 | 675.74 | 584.91 | 449.93 | 449.93 | 224.96 | 674.89 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -10.23% | 49.37% | 77.82% | -27.14% | 15.53% | 30.00% | 0.00% | 100.00% | -66.67% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 7.11% | 9.29% | 7.67% | 3.21% | 6.69% | 7.65% | 3.18% | 2.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 3,222,065.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 356,011.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 2,866,054.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 644,413.00 | 402,758.13 | 241,654.88 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 2,866,054.00 | 2,866,054.00 | 2,866,054.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -644,413.00 | -402,758.13 | -241,654.88 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 2,221,641.00 | 2,463,295.88 | 2,624,399.13 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 748.19 | 748.19 | 748.19 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 2,969.34 | 3,292.32 | 3,507.65 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 475.83 | 475.83 | 475.83 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 2,969.34 | 3,292.32 | 3,507.65 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 3,445.17 | 3,768.15 | 3,983.48 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 5.24% | 5.24% | 5.24% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $726,930.36 | $802,616.39 | $856,447.13 |
| Upside / Downside | 3,138.00% | 3,475.13% | 3,714.91% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 3,222,065.00 | 3,431,499.23 | 3,654,546.67 | 3,892,092.21 | 4,145,078.20 | 4,414,508.29 | 4,546,943.53 |
| Payout Ratio | 11.05% | 26.84% | 42.63% | 58.42% | 74.21% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 356,011.00 | 920,991.23 | 1,557,914.75 | 2,273,747.13 | 3,076,055.54 | 3,973,057.46 | 4,205,922.77 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 5.24% | 5.24% | 5.24% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 866,880.93 | 875,097.81 | 883,314.69 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 1,380,230.41 | 1,406,519.92 | 1,433,057.45 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 1,896,068.48 | 1,950,497.79 | 2,005,958.91 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 2,414,404.20 | 2,507,255.37 | 2,602,759.24 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 2,935,246.66 | 3,077,020.17 | 3,224,219.69 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 138,447,556.58 | 145,134,625.33 | 152,077,623.94 |
| Equity Value (M) | 147,940,387.26 | 154,951,016.40 | 162,226,933.92 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 748.19 | 748.19 | 748.19 |
| Fair Value | $197,730.12 | $207,100.19 | $216,824.84 |
| Upside / Downside | 780.76% | 822.50% | 865.81% |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
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| BBCA.JK | PT Bank Central Asia Tbk | 3.74% | $300.05 | 64.91% |
| BKGI.BK | Bangkok Genomics Innovation Public Company Limited | 3.74% | $0.05 | 88.71% |
| DAC | Danaos Corporation | 3.74% | $3.56 | 14.02% |
| JKON.JK | PT Jaya Konstruksi Manggala Pratama Tbk | 3.74% | $3.25 | 45.42% |
| MDKI.JK | PT Emdeki Utama Tbk | 3.74% | $8.00 | 62.54% |
| NORCO.OL | Norconsult ASA | 3.74% | $1.66 | 72.73% |
| SLCE3.SA | SLC Agrícola S.A. | 3.74% | $0.55 | 41.84% |
| 3948.HK | Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co., Ltd. | 3.73% | $0.65 | 24.32% |
| IDPR.JK | PT Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk | 3.73% | $10.00 | 75.77% |
| KIMBERA.MX | Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V. | 3.73% | $1.43 | 57.51% |
| PGMN3.SA | Empreendimentos Pague Menos S.A. | 3.73% | $0.23 | 74.59% |
| QIBK.QA | Qatar Islamic Bank (Q.P.S.C.) | 3.73% | $0.89 | 44.73% |
| 002367.SZ | Canny Elevator Co., Ltd. | 3.72% | $0.30 | 60.41% |
| 600300.SS | V V Food & Beverage Co.,Ltd | 3.72% | $0.13 | 51.92% |
| 603899.SS | Shanghai M&G Stationery Inc. | 3.72% | $1.01 | 69.72% |
| RHC.AX | Ramsay Health Care Limited | 3.72% | $1.29 | 32.49% |
| 000999.SZ | China Resources Sanjiu Medical & Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. | 3.71% | $1.06 | 63.26% |
| 214180.KQ | Hecto Innovation Co., Ltd. | 3.71% | $602.87 | 23.75% |
| 603948.SS | Zhejiang Jianye Chemical Co., Ltd. | 3.71% | $1.01 | 75.31% |
| 6089.T | Will Group, Inc. | 3.71% | $44.42 | 74.52% |
| QNNS.QA | Qatar Navigation Q.P.S.C. | 3.71% | $0.40 | 38.98% |
| 016610.KS | DB Securities Co., Ltd. | 3.70% | $404.34 | 30.24% |
| 2471.T | S-Pool, Inc. | 3.70% | $10.10 | 43.62% |
| 3430.TWO | Chitec Technology Co., Ltd. | 3.70% | $2.50 | 75.20% |
| 4560.TW | Strong H Machinery Technology (Cayman) Incorporation | 3.70% | $1.20 | 42.07% |
| 5347.KL | Tenaga Nasional Berhad | 3.70% | $0.51 | 62.35% |
| LOOMIS.ST | Loomis AB (publ) | 3.70% | $14.10 | 53.46% |
| MIDW-A.ST | Midway Holding AB (publ) | 3.70% | $0.91 | 65.00% |
| PNDORA.CO | Pandora A/S | 3.70% | $25.72 | 37.06% |
| SPVI.BK | S P V I Public Company Limited | 3.70% | $0.08 | 37.67% |
| 3401.T | Teijin Limited | 3.69% | $49.97 | 35.81% |
| BZU.MI | Buzzi Unicem S.p.A. | 3.69% | $1.90 | 18.48% |
| CWP.AX | Cedar Woods Properties Limited | 3.69% | $0.31 | 15.67% |
| CX.ST | CombinedX AB (publ) | 3.69% | $1.37 | 55.29% |
| REH.AX | Reece Limited | 3.69% | $0.49 | 43.22% |
| 000783.SZ | Changjiang Securities Company Limited | 3.68% | $0.30 | 43.98% |
| 014820.KS | Dongwon Systems Corporation | 3.68% | $916.77 | 45.73% |
| 2245.HK | Lygend Resources & Technology Co., Ltd. | 3.68% | $0.91 | 36.29% |
| 5DD.SI | Micro-Mechanics (Holdings) Ltd. | 3.68% | $0.06 | 66.85% |
| 600598.SS | Heilongjiang Agriculture Company Limited | 3.68% | $0.55 | 89.21% |
| 601156.SS | Eastern Air Logistics Co., Ltd. | 3.68% | $0.68 | 41.00% |
| NICL.JK | PT PAM Mineral Tbk | 3.68% | $51.00 | 99.38% |
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| 5296.KL | Mr D.I.Y. Group (M) Berhad | 3.67% | $0.06 | 87.61% |
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| KEMIRA.HE | Kemira Oyj | 3.67% | $0.72 | 49.87% |