Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Bilfinger SE (GBF.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$798.64 - $941.69$882.15
Multi-Stage$499.90 - $550.61$524.77
Blended Fair Value$703.46
Current Price$81.65
Upside761.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.87%-6.52%1.791.295.152.090.191.071.121.170.002.35
YoY Growth--38.89%-74.91%146.75%975.34%-81.89%-4.05%-4.98%0.00%-100.00%-33.23%
Dividend Yield--2.71%3.01%13.17%6.04%0.62%6.97%3.53%3.17%0.00%6.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)185.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)107.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)78.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)37.1623.2313.94
Cash Retained (M)78.1078.1078.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-37.16-23.23-13.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)40.9454.8864.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)37.6337.6337.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.091.461.71
LTM Dividend per Share2.862.862.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.091.461.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.954.324.57
WACC / Discount Rate0.66%0.66%0.66%
Growth Rate1.09%2.09%3.09%
Fair Value$798.64$882.15$941.69
Upside / Downside878.12%980.40%1,053.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)185.80189.68193.64197.68201.81206.02212.20
Payout Ratio57.97%64.37%70.78%77.19%83.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)107.70122.10137.06152.58168.70185.42196.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.66%0.66%0.66%
Growth Rate1.09%2.09%3.09%
Year 1 PV (M)120.12121.30122.49
Year 2 PV (M)132.63135.27137.94
Year 3 PV (M)145.26149.61154.05
Year 4 PV (M)157.99164.33170.87
Year 5 PV (M)170.83179.44188.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,083.7918,996.1219,944.91
Equity Value (M)18,810.6219,746.0920,718.67
Shares Outstanding (M)37.6337.6337.63
Fair Value$499.90$524.77$550.61
Upside / Downside512.25%542.70%574.36%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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