Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Qingdao NovelBeam Technology Co.,Ltd. (688677.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25.23 - $61.16$37.49
Multi-Stage$18.36 - $20.02$19.17
Blended Fair Value$28.33
Current Price$39.01
Upside-27.37%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.65%28.03%0.560.580.300.300.020.280.290.000.030.04
YoY Growth---4.23%91.32%1.41%1,800.29%-94.39%-1.77%0.00%-100.00%-27.11%-13.06%
Dividend Yield--1.48%1.07%0.42%0.59%0.03%0.70%0.00%0.00%0.07%0.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)139.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)73.22
(=) Cash Retained (M)66.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.8517.4110.44
Cash Retained (M)66.0366.0366.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.85-17.41-10.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)38.1848.6255.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)119.71119.71119.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.320.410.46
LTM Dividend per Share0.610.610.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.320.410.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.931.021.08
WACC / Discount Rate9.39%9.39%9.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$25.23$37.49$61.16
Upside / Downside-35.33%-3.89%56.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)139.24148.29157.93168.20179.13190.78196.50
Payout Ratio52.58%60.06%67.55%75.03%82.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)73.2289.07106.68126.20147.81171.70181.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.39%9.39%9.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)80.6681.4382.19
Year 2 PV (M)87.4889.1590.83
Year 3 PV (M)93.7296.4199.15
Year 4 PV (M)99.40103.22107.16
Year 5 PV (M)104.56109.61114.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,731.881,815.531,902.39
Equity Value (M)2,197.712,295.362,396.57
Shares Outstanding (M)119.71119.71119.71
Fair Value$18.36$19.17$20.02
Upside / Downside-52.94%-50.85%-48.68%

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