Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $159,338.71 - $235,776.14 | $195,888.39 |
| Multi-Stage | $134,436.64 - $146,208.49 | $140,219.27 |
| Blended Fair Value | $168,053.83 | |
| Current Price | $165,400.00 | |
| Upside | 1.60% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 13.81% | 15.43% | 3,150.02 | 2,850.02 | 1,900.01 | 1,750.01 | 1,750.01 | 1,650.01 | 1,500.01 | 1,500.01 | 1,500.01 | 1,000.01 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 10.53% | 50.00% | 8.57% | 0.00% | 6.06% | 10.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 50.00% | 33.33% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 2.80% | 3.26% | 2.40% | 1.82% | 1.87% | 3.64% | 2.32% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.06% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 1,389,602.10 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 277,500.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,112,102.10 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 277,920.42 | 173,700.26 | 104,220.16 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,112,102.10 | 1,112,102.10 | 1,112,102.10 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -277,920.42 | -173,700.26 | -104,220.16 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 834,181.68 | 938,401.84 | 1,007,881.95 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 75.00 | 75.00 | 75.00 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 11,122.50 | 12,512.11 | 13,438.52 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 3,700.02 | 3,700.02 | 3,700.02 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 11,122.50 | 12,512.11 | 13,438.52 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 14,822.52 | 16,212.13 | 17,138.54 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 15.31% | 15.31% | 15.31% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $159,338.71 | $195,888.39 | $235,776.14 |
| Upside / Downside | -3.66% | 18.43% | 42.55% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 1,389,602.10 | 1,479,926.24 | 1,576,121.45 | 1,678,569.34 | 1,787,676.35 | 1,903,875.31 | 1,960,991.57 |
| Payout Ratio | 19.97% | 33.98% | 47.98% | 61.99% | 75.99% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 277,500.00 | 502,816.72 | 756,252.18 | 1,040,509.85 | 1,358,525.85 | 1,713,487.78 | 1,813,917.20 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 15.31% | 15.31% | 15.31% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 431,946.46 | 436,040.74 | 440,135.02 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 558,093.61 | 568,723.72 | 579,454.12 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 659,639.73 | 678,575.62 | 697,870.47 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 739,858.59 | 768,311.46 | 797,577.21 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 801,644.89 | 840,364.63 | 880,566.28 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 6,891,497.42 | 7,224,359.32 | 7,569,960.63 |
| Equity Value (M) | 10,082,680.69 | 10,516,375.49 | 10,965,563.73 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 75.00 | 75.00 | 75.00 |
| Fair Value | $134,436.64 | $140,219.27 | $146,208.49 |
| Upside / Downside | -18.72% | -15.22% | -11.60% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5271.KL | Pecca Group Berhad | 3.89% | $0.07 | 81.04% |
| 8183.TWO | Info-Tek Corporation | 3.89% | $1.30 | 53.03% |
| BDMS-R.BK | Bangkok Dusit Medical Services Public Company Limited | 3.89% | $0.75 | 72.62% |
| DANHOS13.MX | Fibra Danhos | 3.89% | $1.09 | 36.98% |
| FPE.DE | Fuchs Petrolub SE | 3.89% | $1.17 | 51.86% |
| S63.SI | Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd | 3.89% | $0.33 | 72.94% |
| SONIC.BK | Sonic Interfreight Public Company Limited | 3.89% | $0.06 | 33.00% |
| 0QMW.L | Kuehne + Nagel International AG | 3.88% | $9.95 | 98.58% |
| 600861.SS | FESCO Group Co., Ltd. | 3.88% | $0.71 | 34.85% |
| CIV.PA | Caisse régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel d'Ille-et-Vilaine Société coopérative | 3.88% | $4.05 | 18.13% |
| DIR-UN.TO | Dream Industrial Real Estate Investment Trust | 3.88% | $0.49 | 65.95% |
| GGBR3.SA | Gerdau S.A. | 3.88% | $0.68 | 45.15% |
| HMC.AX | HMC Capital Limited | 3.88% | $0.16 | 11.87% |
| 000728.SZ | Guoyuan Securities Company Limited | 3.87% | $0.32 | 52.50% |
| 2145.HK | Shanghai Chicmax Cosmetic Co., Ltd. | 3.87% | $2.69 | 64.24% |
| 600025.SS | Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc. | 3.87% | $0.35 | 75.95% |
| 603970.SS | Sino-Agri Leading Biosciences Co.,Ltd | 3.87% | $0.50 | 74.51% |
| 6509.TWO | Taiwan Hopax Chems.Mfg.Co.,Ltd. | 3.87% | $1.25 | 49.65% |
| AKZA.AS | Akzo Nobel N.V. | 3.87% | $2.31 | 95.66% |
| 1763.HK | China Isotope & Radiation Corporation | 3.86% | $0.83 | 32.12% |
| 600761.SS | Anhui Heli Co.,Ltd. | 3.86% | $0.81 | 53.66% |
| 605337.SS | Zhe Jiang Li Zi Yuan Food Co.,Ltd. | 3.86% | $0.46 | 92.31% |
| BOSS.DE | Hugo Boss AG | 3.86% | $1.40 | 43.29% |
| GOFORE.HE | Gofore Oyj | 3.86% | $0.52 | 83.77% |
| LOGO.IS | Logo Yazilim Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. | 3.86% | $5.94 | 43.46% |
| PKTM.VI | PIERER Mobility AG | 3.86% | $0.58 | 3.67% |
| SICT.BK | Silicon Craft Technology Public Company Limited | 3.86% | $0.09 | 51.68% |
| 000591.SZ | CECEP Solar Energy Co.,Ltd. | 3.85% | $0.17 | 63.11% |
| 0QKI.L | Swisscom AG | 3.85% | $22.01 | 91.35% |
| 215200.KQ | MegaStudyEdu Co. Ltd | 3.85% | $1,569.97 | 34.80% |
| 2163.T | Artner Co.,Ltd. | 3.85% | $81.57 | 65.08% |
| 3265.TWO | Winstek Semiconductor Co., Ltd. | 3.85% | $4.80 | 95.49% |
| 6301.T | Komatsu Ltd. | 3.85% | $192.66 | 42.48% |
| 9563.SR | Bena Steel Industries Co. | 3.85% | $1.58 | 84.07% |
| CPN-R.BK | Central Pattana Public Company Limited | 3.85% | $2.12 | 57.57% |
| 000080.KS | HITEJINRO Co., Ltd. | 3.84% | $700.20 | 55.98% |
| 601921.SS | Zhejiang Publishing & Media Co., Ltd. | 3.84% | $0.30 | 51.98% |
| 9945.TW | Ruentex Development Co.,Ltd. | 3.84% | $1.14 | 33.31% |
| AGUAS-A.SN | Aguas Andinas S.A. | 3.84% | $14.22 | 70.41% |
| TNK | Teekay Tankers Ltd. | 3.84% | $1.98 | 21.29% |
| WALMEX.MX | Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. | 3.84% | $2.16 | 74.07% |
| 000810.KS | Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co., Ltd. | 3.83% | $19,037.86 | 40.33% |
| 0QPW.L | Zug Estates Holding AG | 3.83% | $85.00 | 29.91% |
| 9910.TW | Feng Tay Enterprises Co., Ltd. | 3.83% | $4.31 | 86.98% |
| CTC-A.TO | Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited | 3.83% | $6.72 | 49.69% |
| LOR.DE | L'Oréal S.A. | 3.83% | $13.98 | 59.38% |
| SOBO | South Bow Corporation | 3.83% | $1.07 | 69.36% |
| 0799.HK | IGG Inc | 3.82% | $0.15 | 12.76% |
| 105630.KS | Hansae Co., Ltd. | 3.82% | $500.30 | 39.98% |
| SIX2.DE | Sixt SE | 3.82% | $2.71 | 44.65% |