Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. (ZBH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$35.94 - $54.66$44.72
Multi-Stage$60.31 - $66.29$63.24
Blended Fair Value$53.98
Current Price$98.50
Upside-45.20%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.07%3.02%0.981.011.011.001.000.990.980.970.950.79
YoY Growth---2.44%-0.15%0.55%0.81%0.92%0.77%0.83%2.76%19.92%7.97%
Dividend Yield--0.87%0.78%0.78%0.79%0.64%1.01%0.79%0.92%0.80%0.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)805.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)190.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)614.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)161.04100.6560.39
Cash Retained (M)614.40614.40614.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-161.04-100.65-60.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)453.36513.75554.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)199.18199.18199.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.282.582.78
LTM Dividend per Share0.960.960.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.282.582.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.233.543.74
WACC / Discount Rate7.94%7.94%7.94%
Growth Rate-0.97%0.03%1.03%
Fair Value$35.94$44.72$54.66
Upside / Downside-63.52%-54.60%-44.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)805.20805.42805.63805.85806.07806.29830.47
Payout Ratio23.70%36.96%50.22%63.48%76.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)190.80297.66404.57511.54618.57725.66768.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.94%7.94%7.94%
Growth Rate-0.97%0.03%1.03%
Year 1 PV (M)273.01275.76278.52
Year 2 PV (M)340.34347.25354.22
Year 3 PV (M)394.69406.77419.09
Year 4 PV (M)437.75455.70474.20
Year 5 PV (M)471.00495.27520.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,095.7110,615.8611,157.22
Equity Value (M)12,012.5012,596.6013,203.78
Shares Outstanding (M)199.18199.18199.18
Fair Value$60.31$63.24$66.29
Upside / Downside-38.77%-35.79%-32.70%

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