Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Essential Utilities, Inc. (WTRG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated WaterSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$119.62 - $477.39$322.49
Multi-Stage$59.02 - $64.51$61.72
Blended Fair Value$192.10
Current Price$37.14
Upside417.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.94%11.94%1.241.141.040.930.840.680.540.510.470.44
YoY Growth--9.34%9.76%11.59%11.21%23.37%25.06%7.16%7.44%7.98%8.15%
Dividend Yield--3.15%3.09%2.37%1.82%1.87%1.66%1.50%1.48%1.46%1.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)668.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)366.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)302.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)133.6983.5650.13
Cash Retained (M)302.20302.20302.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-133.69-83.56-50.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)168.51218.64252.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)278.47278.47278.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.610.790.91
LTM Dividend per Share1.321.321.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.610.790.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.922.102.22
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$119.62$322.49$477.39
Upside / Downside222.09%768.30%1,185.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)668.45711.90758.17807.45859.94915.83943.31
Payout Ratio54.79%61.83%68.87%75.92%82.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)366.25440.19522.19612.99713.39824.25872.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.19%7.19%7.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)406.79410.65414.50
Year 2 PV (M)445.96454.45463.03
Year 3 PV (M)483.79497.68511.83
Year 4 PV (M)520.31540.32560.90
Year 5 PV (M)555.56582.39610.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,024.0014,701.3715,404.66
Equity Value (M)16,436.4117,186.8517,965.16
Shares Outstanding (M)278.47278.47278.47
Fair Value$59.02$61.72$64.51
Upside / Downside58.92%66.18%73.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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