Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Worthington Steel, Inc. (WS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.90 - $20.94$17.90
Multi-Stage$21.80 - $23.91$22.83
Blended Fair Value$20.37
Current Price$33.30
Upside-38.84%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.640.160.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--303.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.91%0.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)118.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)86.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.7214.838.90
Cash Retained (M)86.6086.6086.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.72-14.83-8.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)62.8871.7877.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)50.0550.0550.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.261.431.55
LTM Dividend per Share0.640.640.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.261.431.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.902.072.19
WACC / Discount Rate10.47%10.47%10.47%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$14.90$17.90$20.94
Upside / Downside-55.25%-46.25%-37.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)118.60117.41116.24115.08113.93112.79116.17
Payout Ratio26.98%39.59%52.19%64.79%77.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32.0046.4860.6674.5688.18101.51107.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.47%10.47%10.47%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)41.6542.0742.50
Year 2 PV (M)48.7149.7150.72
Year 3 PV (M)53.6555.3157.00
Year 4 PV (M)56.8559.2161.64
Year 5 PV (M)58.6561.7164.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)831.43874.73919.81
Equity Value (M)1,090.951,142.741,196.56
Shares Outstanding (M)50.0550.0550.05
Fair Value$21.80$22.83$23.91
Upside / Downside-34.54%-31.44%-28.21%

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