Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Worthington Industries, Inc. (WOR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.62 - $10.00$8.87
Multi-Stage$15.08 - $16.68$15.86
Blended Fair Value$12.36
Current Price$54.95
Upside-77.50%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-8.65%-3.10%0.681.151.191.151.071.071.051.041.020.95
YoY Growth---40.33%-4.09%3.53%7.99%-0.56%1.82%1.90%1.27%7.47%1.63%
Dividend Yield--1.04%2.50%2.57%3.67%2.99%4.20%4.93%3.61%3.32%3.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)106.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)80.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.2013.257.95
Cash Retained (M)80.6280.6280.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.20-13.25-7.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)59.4267.3772.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.6149.6149.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.201.361.46
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.201.361.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.711.871.98
WACC / Discount Rate9.41%9.41%9.41%
Growth Rate-10.65%-9.65%-8.65%
Fair Value$7.62$8.87$10.00
Upside / Downside-86.14%-83.87%-81.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)106.0295.7986.5578.2070.6563.8465.75
Payout Ratio23.95%37.16%50.37%63.58%76.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.3935.6043.6049.7254.2557.4560.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.41%9.41%9.41%
Growth Rate-10.65%-9.65%-8.65%
Year 1 PV (M)32.1832.5432.90
Year 2 PV (M)35.6236.4237.23
Year 3 PV (M)36.7237.9739.24
Year 4 PV (M)36.2237.8739.57
Year 5 PV (M)34.6736.6538.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)572.79605.57639.83
Equity Value (M)748.19787.01827.49
Shares Outstanding (M)49.6149.6149.61
Fair Value$15.08$15.86$16.68
Upside / Downside-72.56%-71.13%-69.65%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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