Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Wells Fargo & Company (WFC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$40.83 - $57.68$49.17
Multi-Stage$68.93 - $75.78$72.28
Blended Fair Value$60.73
Current Price$83.82
Upside-27.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.94%-2.93%1.561.451.270.741.472.492.342.272.272.25
YoY Growth--7.18%14.62%72.50%-50.08%-40.81%6.58%2.83%0.11%0.97%7.12%
Dividend Yield--2.17%2.53%3.40%1.52%3.77%8.68%4.79%4.34%4.08%4.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21,056.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,361.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)15,695.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,211.202,632.001,579.20
Cash Retained (M)15,695.0015,695.0015,695.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,211.20-2,632.00-1,579.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,483.8013,063.0014,115.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,291.683,291.683,291.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.493.974.29
LTM Dividend per Share1.631.631.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.493.974.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.125.605.92
WACC / Discount Rate9.14%9.14%9.14%
Growth Rate-3.01%-2.01%-1.01%
Fair Value$40.83$49.17$57.68
Upside / Downside-51.28%-41.34%-31.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21,056.0020,631.7520,216.0519,808.7319,409.6119,018.5319,589.09
Payout Ratio25.46%38.37%51.28%64.18%77.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,361.007,916.1010,366.0612,714.0914,963.2817,116.6818,119.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.14%9.14%9.14%
Growth Rate-3.01%-2.01%-1.01%
Year 1 PV (M)7,179.187,253.207,327.22
Year 2 PV (M)8,525.908,702.638,881.17
Year 3 PV (M)9,483.649,780.0310,082.53
Year 4 PV (M)10,122.3210,546.3010,983.46
Year 5 PV (M)10,501.1311,053.7911,629.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)181,069.11190,598.50200,524.94
Equity Value (M)226,881.28237,934.44249,428.79
Shares Outstanding (M)3,291.683,291.683,291.68
Fair Value$68.93$72.28$75.78
Upside / Downside-17.77%-13.76%-9.60%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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