Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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WEC Energy Group, Inc. (WEC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$300.09 - $1,048.56$982.63
Multi-Stage$146.32 - $159.98$153.02
Blended Fair Value$567.83
Current Price$114.59
Upside395.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.24%11.61%3.293.072.862.662.492.322.172.051.951.42
YoY Growth--7.32%7.22%7.38%7.12%7.19%6.77%6.21%5.06%37.22%29.38%
Dividend Yield--3.02%3.76%3.02%2.67%2.66%2.63%2.78%3.26%3.21%2.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,695.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,122.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)572.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)339.06211.91127.15
Cash Retained (M)572.90572.90572.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-339.06-211.91-127.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)233.84360.99445.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)320.78320.78320.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.731.131.39
LTM Dividend per Share3.503.503.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.731.131.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.234.624.89
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate5.24%6.24%7.24%
Fair Value$300.09$982.63$1,048.56
Upside / Downside161.88%757.52%815.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,695.301,801.171,913.652,033.152,160.122,295.012,363.86
Payout Ratio66.21%70.97%75.72%80.48%85.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,122.401,278.201,449.091,636.331,841.312,065.512,186.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate5.24%6.24%7.24%
Year 1 PV (M)1,186.361,197.631,208.90
Year 2 PV (M)1,248.321,272.161,296.22
Year 3 PV (M)1,308.341,345.991,384.35
Year 4 PV (M)1,366.441,419.121,473.31
Year 5 PV (M)1,422.681,491.571,563.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)40,402.7242,359.0144,390.36
Equity Value (M)46,934.8749,085.4851,316.24
Shares Outstanding (M)320.78320.78320.78
Fair Value$146.32$153.02$159.98
Upside / Downside27.69%33.54%39.61%

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