Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Vodafone Qatar P.Q.S.C. (VFQS.QA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.91 - $29.85$27.97
Multi-Stage$4.32 - $4.72$4.52
Blended Fair Value$16.25
Current Price$2.38
Upside582.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720172016
DPS17.95%13.52%0.110.100.060.050.050.050.000.000.000.04
YoY Growth--11.83%67.49%16.08%5.56%-0.54%16,045.88%9.84%-77.82%-96.94%29.41%
Dividend Yield--5.62%5.62%3.42%3.18%2.92%5.61%0.02%0.02%0.08%1.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)636.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)510.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)125.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)127.2279.5247.71
Cash Retained (M)125.95125.95125.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-127.22-79.52-47.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.2846.4378.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,238.034,238.034,238.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.14
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$10.91$27.97$29.85
Upside / Downside358.22%1,075.41%1,154.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)636.12677.47721.51768.41818.35871.55897.69
Payout Ratio80.20%82.16%84.12%86.08%88.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)510.18556.61606.93661.45720.48784.39830.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)516.95521.85526.75
Year 2 PV (M)523.52533.49543.55
Year 3 PV (M)529.88545.09560.59
Year 4 PV (M)536.04556.66577.86
Year 5 PV (M)542.01568.19595.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,669.9816,426.8417,212.67
Equity Value (M)18,318.3719,152.1220,016.80
Shares Outstanding (M)4,238.034,238.034,238.03
Fair Value$4.32$4.52$4.72
Upside / Downside81.61%89.88%98.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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