Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Value Line Select Growth Fund (VALSX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.95 - $21.21$17.36
Multi-Stage$20.76 - $22.73$21.73
Blended Fair Value$19.54
Current Price$35.21
Upside-44.50%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%4.78%0.810.720.690.660.000.000.560.520.500.50
YoY Growth--12.68%4.18%4.45%0.00%0.00%-100.00%7.28%4.74%-0.36%-0.44%
Dividend Yield--2.35%2.07%1.61%1.56%0.00%0.00%1.70%1.69%1.42%1.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.652.281.37
Cash Retained (M)7.987.987.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.65-2.28-1.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.335.706.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.7511.7511.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.370.480.56
LTM Dividend per Share0.870.870.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.370.480.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.241.361.44
WACC / Discount Rate8.96%8.96%8.96%
Growth Rate0.05%1.05%2.05%
Fair Value$13.95$17.36$21.21
Upside / Downside-60.38%-50.71%-39.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18.2718.4618.6518.8519.0419.2419.82
Payout Ratio56.29%63.03%69.78%76.52%83.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.2811.6313.0114.4215.8517.3218.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.96%8.96%8.96%
Growth Rate0.05%1.05%2.05%
Year 1 PV (M)10.5710.6810.78
Year 2 PV (M)10.7410.9611.18
Year 3 PV (M)10.8211.1511.48
Year 4 PV (M)10.8111.2511.70
Year 5 PV (M)10.7311.2711.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)190.38200.09210.19
Equity Value (M)244.05255.39267.17
Shares Outstanding (M)11.7511.7511.75
Fair Value$20.76$21.73$22.73
Upside / Downside-41.03%-38.29%-35.44%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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