Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Valmet Oyj (VALMT.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$120.24 - $294.49$275.98
Multi-Stage$44.45 - $48.56$46.47
Blended Fair Value$161.22
Current Price$28.28
Upside470.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.75%27.46%1.351.300.970.730.650.530.440.340.280.20
YoY Growth--4.18%33.52%32.59%12.50%23.71%18.29%30.16%21.15%40.54%68.18%
Dividend Yield--5.41%5.32%3.25%2.60%2.10%2.94%1.92%2.10%1.94%2.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)273.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)248.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)25.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)54.6034.1320.48
Cash Retained (M)25.0025.0025.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-54.60-34.13-20.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)-29.60-9.134.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)184.37184.37184.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.16-0.050.02
LTM Dividend per Share1.351.351.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.16-0.050.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.181.301.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$120.24$275.98$294.49
Upside / Downside325.18%875.87%941.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)273.00290.75309.64329.77351.21374.03385.25
Payout Ratio90.84%90.67%90.51%90.34%90.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)248.00263.63280.24297.90316.68336.63356.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)245.13247.45249.77
Year 2 PV (M)242.28246.90251.56
Year 3 PV (M)239.47246.35253.35
Year 4 PV (M)236.69245.80255.16
Year 5 PV (M)233.95245.25256.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,997.257,335.227,686.13
Equity Value (M)8,194.788,566.968,952.95
Shares Outstanding (M)184.37184.37184.37
Fair Value$44.45$46.47$48.56
Upside / Downside57.17%64.31%71.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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