Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Urban Edge Properties (UE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.51 - $13.18$10.68
Multi-Stage$13.04 - $14.25$13.63
Blended Fair Value$12.15
Current Price$20.47
Upside-40.62%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.82%0.00%0.650.590.590.980.210.840.790.750.640.62
YoY Growth--10.27%0.12%-39.44%365.34%-74.90%5.90%5.10%17.41%2.62%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.44%3.50%3.94%5.12%1.27%9.51%4.15%3.60%2.44%2.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)113.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)92.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.6114.138.48
Cash Retained (M)20.0920.0920.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.61-14.13-8.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.525.9611.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)126.72126.72126.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.050.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.730.730.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.050.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.710.780.83
WACC / Discount Rate8.69%8.69%8.69%
Growth Rate0.29%1.29%2.29%
Fair Value$8.51$10.68$13.18
Upside / Downside-58.41%-47.85%-35.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)113.04114.49115.97117.46118.97120.50124.12
Payout Ratio82.23%83.78%85.34%86.89%88.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)92.9595.9398.96102.06105.23108.45114.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.69%8.69%8.69%
Growth Rate0.29%1.29%2.29%
Year 1 PV (M)87.3888.2589.13
Year 2 PV (M)82.1283.7785.43
Year 3 PV (M)77.1579.4881.86
Year 4 PV (M)72.4675.3978.41
Year 5 PV (M)68.0371.4975.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,264.961,329.301,396.23
Equity Value (M)1,652.101,727.681,806.14
Shares Outstanding (M)126.72126.72126.72
Fair Value$13.04$13.63$14.25
Upside / Downside-36.31%-33.40%-30.37%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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