Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Thai Wah Public Company Limited (TWPC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.38 - $2.06$1.71
Multi-Stage$3.14 - $3.46$3.30
Blended Fair Value$2.50
Current Price$2.54
Upside-1.54%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-22.31%-6.51%0.090.220.220.130.130.320.320.210.360.00
YoY Growth---57.84%-0.01%61.08%0.08%-58.34%0.40%52.43%-41.66%4,091,037.75%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.82%5.96%4.44%1.97%2.75%11.47%3.88%1.68%3.07%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)152.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)102.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.4619.0411.42
Cash Retained (M)102.20102.20102.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.46-19.04-11.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)71.7383.1690.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)880.42880.42880.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate6.77%6.77%6.77%
Growth Rate-2.93%-1.93%-0.93%
Fair Value$1.38$1.71$2.06
Upside / Downside-45.50%-32.85%-18.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)152.32149.38146.49143.66140.89138.16142.31
Payout Ratio32.91%44.33%55.74%67.16%78.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50.1366.2281.6696.49110.71124.35131.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.77%6.77%6.77%
Growth Rate-2.93%-1.93%-0.93%
Year 1 PV (M)61.3862.0262.65
Year 2 PV (M)70.1871.6373.10
Year 3 PV (M)76.8779.2781.72
Year 4 PV (M)81.7685.1888.71
Year 5 PV (M)85.1389.6194.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,388.942,514.562,645.41
Equity Value (M)2,764.272,902.273,045.86
Shares Outstanding (M)880.42880.42880.42
Fair Value$3.14$3.30$3.46
Upside / Downside23.61%29.78%36.20%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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